Renewable Energy Approach in Energy Planning of Erzurum Province
Abstract
The use of fossil resources has disturbed the natural balance of the world and caused environmental pollution. The most important precautionary measure to eliminate these negative effects is to increase the use of renewable energy resources that do not harm the environment instead of fossil energy resources. In this context, this study aims to prepare a roadmap for the use of 100% renewable energy to meet the electricity needs of Erzurum province. For this purpose, different scenarios for the transition to renewable energy were prepared using the EnergyPLAN program, an energy simulation program. In the program, the program was first verified using the current energy data of Erzurum for the year 2021 and a reference scenario was created with this data. Subsequently, various alternative scenarios were prepared in 5-year periods, starting from 2025 until the use of fossil resources is reduced to zero. The demand for electrical energy required to create these scenarios was generated using the Artificial Neural Networks model. First, the network was trained using historical data and it was found that the trained network made predictions with an accuracy of 98%. Then the demand for electrical energy was estimated for the scenarios. The results of the scenarios show that use of fossil resources will decrease to zero in 2045. At the same time, it was found that the amount of CO2, which was 0.07 million tons in the reference year 2021, was found to be 0.05 million tons, 0.03 million tons, 0.02 million tons, 0.01 million tons and 0.00 million tons 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040 and 2045, respectively.
Biography
Emine ERTANE BAŞ-She was born in Erzincan on 05/04/1991. He completed his undergraduate education in Industrial Engineering at Karabük University in 2014. He completed his master’s degree in Operations Research at Atatürk University in 2018. He is currently continuing his doctoral studies at Atatürk University, Department of Industrial Engineering.